I wonder if ISAF could have predicted the maelstrom of protest that would be caused by the announcement of the 10 Events for the Olympic Regatta in Weymouth 2012. No women's skiff, and more controversially, no multihull. After a week of in-depth discussions and strategic thinking about a brighter future for Olympic sailing, with the sub-committees working their way through the pros and cons of the various Events on the table, none of this mattered a bean once the 40 members of ISAF Council sat down to place their votes. People have their agenda, and they stick to them.

There was an eleventh-hour change of voting procedure - nominally to speed up the process but which some cynics say was engineered by the keelboat lobby to open up the opportunity for a bit of horsetrading and tactical voting. It went from a ‘what-would-you-eliminate' vote to a ‘what-would-you-like-keep' vote. According to those who understand voting systems better than I, there can be quite a difference in outcomes depending on which you choose.
 
With the voting procedure altered, the keelboat lobby was either very lucky or very clever, because it had turned around a situation where there were no keelboats on the roster proposed by the Events Committee midway through the week. This was widely accepted as a progressive line-up of Events which included the Men's Multihull and Women's High Performance Dinghy.

However, in the meeting that mattered, ISAF Council selected the Men's Keelboat ahead of the Multihull by just two votes, and Women's Match Racing ahead of Women's Skiff by just one vote. Oh so painfully close for what could have been a breath of fresh air in Olympic sailing.

The multihull world has been up in arms since, and rightly so. The exclusion of a catamaran from the Games leaves a yawning gap in the Olympic line-up. Of course, it could be argued that excluding the keelboats could have been equally unrepresentative of sailing. But keelboats fulfil so few of the criteria which are deemed important by IOC and even ISAF itself. Affordable and accessible they're not, and media-friendly they're not. Keelboats are logistically complicated to campaign, and play to the strengths of the more organised, wealthy nations. Hardly a way to help grow the sport among the emerging nations.

I wonder if the multihull sailors will be able to organise themselves sufficiently well to actually achieve a turnaround. There is an online petition asking for the multihull to be reinstated. I signed it, and I suspect many other high-performance sailing fans did.

However, I think the cat fraternity could have made a much stronger case for reinstatement if they had asked for reconsideration alongside a women's high performance dinghy. This would take them out of being a one-issue problem to being part of a much wider problem, ie excluded from a roster of Olympic classes that currently is retrospective rather than being progressive and forward looking, as it could have been with the inclusion of a multihull and women's skiff.
 
The problem is that some multihull sailors see a conspiracy at work here. Take, for example, the reaction of Mike Grandfield, chairman of the International Tornado Association, who was there during the ISAF Conference in Estoril. "The bottom line right now is that Multihull sailing has no seat at the ISAF table. And, ISAF has voted that it is a monohull organisation." The decision in Estoril may have been wrong, but what it wasn't was a multihull witch hunt. Such misplaced paranoia does a disservice to the cat community.

As long as some people continue to take this apartheid attitude to sailing, where they see this division between sailors as either being on one hull or two hulls, then they are going to find it hard to gain influence where it counts. I have to say, I'm not entirely comfortable just writing about monohulls while Jeremy Evans writes exclusively about multis. But that is the way the labour is divided within this magazine. More importantly, this ‘them and us' mentality is rife in some online forums, and it's not pretty. Badmouthing your fellow sailors just because they choose to sail a different type of boat to you - it's not a great way to go about winning friends and influencing people.

If the multihull lobby went to ISAF with a solution rather than a complaint, it might get a better reception. Here's an idea for starters - a five-day, long-distance stage race from Weymouth and finishing under London Bridge. It would be a spectacular addition to the 2012 regatta, it would connect Weymouth to the London Olympics, and the only type of boat that could deliver this Event would be a multihull. Probably a bit late in the day to propose it, but worth a try. At a stroke, it would make the multihull the most thrilling part of the Olympic Regatta.

Whatever pleas or protest people make, and however justified they may be, it's hard to see ISAF changing its mind at this stage. But it must be severely embarrassed that its own long-term aims have again been derailed by a few ISAF Council members pursuing their own agenda. The Americans have been widely blamed for where they placed their votes, by the way, but if ever there was a nation that is wedded to its small keelboats it's the USA. So can you blame them for voting for the Men's Keelboat and Women's Match Racing?
 
My point is, ISAF shouldn't allow itself to be washed back and forth on the votes of a few people whose own objectives don't match its own. US Sailing took a ‘George Bush' approach to foreign policy, and did what was right for the American people at the expense of what was good for the wider world of sailing. Understandable, but regrettable.

While it seems to me US Sailing voted selfishly, the RYA appears to have voted for what it saw as the best long-term interests of the sport. It voted Multihull instead of Keelboat, despite the fact that the Star has yielded more British success in the past 20 years than the Tornado. And it voted Women's High Performance (where there is no track record at senior level although encouraging signs at youth level) instead of Women's Match Racing, which many predict will play even more into the hands of the wealthy and organised nations such as GBR.

Goran Petersson has been criticised for not using more of his clout as ISAF President in leading the proceedings with a firmer hand in Estoril. Now he and his colleagues are paying the price. But will they allow it to happen again? The self-serving nature of ISAF Council plainly isn't working. The Estoril debacle makes Petersson looks weak, and he is up for re-election next year. The best thing he could do is drive through some serious reform and come up with a system that is far less reliant on lobbying and backroom politics.

So what's the solution? Either a benign dictatorship, or outright democracy. We can't have this wishy-washy half-way house of fudged decisions that continue to impede ISAF and the development of the sport. But is there such a think as a benign dictator? The previous ISAF President, Paul Henderson, ran a form of dictatorship. It did at least get things done. He railroaded the 49er into the Olympics, perhaps 10 or 20 years before it might otherwise have done so. Few have had much cause for complaint since then. The 49er is one of the most respected classes in the Olympic line-up. But Henderson also rubbed people up the wrong way, and to some was unnecessarily confrontational.

The alternative, democracy, sounds all very nice. But how to put it into practice? Through the Internet! Run a survey of every sailor that is currently participating in an Olympic campaign, and also every sailor that attended the past few ISAF Youth World Championships. Perhaps extend it to other events such as the sailing competitors in the Asian Games. Ask them what Events and what type of boats these people would like to be sailing in the future. This would not be difficult to do.

ISAF has already done most of the hard work. To take part in an ISAF graded regatta, you have to sign up to the ISAF Sailor scheme at www.sailing.org, and you are required to provide an email address. This means ISAF already has the database it needs to conduct a survey. So ask the sailors what they want! Allow them to say what they would really like to sail in an ideal world. In these days of modern technology, there is really no excuse for not engaging with the wider sailing community. It's dead cheap to do, and it would make sailors feel like ISAF was listening to them. They don't have that feeling at the moment.

Combine this democratic survey of the people actively competing at the top levels of Olympic and youth competition with a small, lean executive committee who would take the broad findings of the sailors and work it into a strategic plan. But hang on, doesn't ISAF have just such a body? Yes, it's called the Events Committee which, based on what emerged from its proposals was judged by many to be presenting a very progressive, well considered strategy for ISAF Council to approve. Except it wasn't approved.

The Events Committee doesn't hold the power. If it did, I would be writing a much more upbeat Roll Tacks. But I'm not, because the power - and the problem - lies with ISAF Council. This is where tactical expediency overcomes strategic planning. For example, I am told there were two practising international judges who failed to declare a personal interest in the outcome of the vote. If you were an international judge, which would you vote for: a women's skiff or women's match racing? The match racing of course, because it offers lots of lovely trips to exotic venues for the international judges fortunate enough to be invited. A cynical interpretation of events this may be, but these people are only human, and it's pretty easy to justify to yourself that you've just made ‘the right decision' for sailing when faced with two good choices.

Actually, I'm not so sure that women's match racing will turn out to be such a great answer for Olympic sailing. While it's cheap for a team of women to jump on the plane with their sailing gear and rock up to a regatta with provided boats, who's going to pay for those boats, and who's going to cover the cost of all the judges and boats that are part and parcel of top-level match racing? The only way I can see it working is by turning the existing women's tour into the Olympic circuit, which means it will be operating in isolation from the rest of the Olympic classes. Unless ISAF is very careful, its new found love for women's match racing could be another case of ‘marry in haste, repent at leisure'. A bit like the Yngling, when you think about it.